Loading...
Loading...
Click here if you don’t see subscription options
Robert David SullivanApril 26, 2014

Thanks for reading (Un)Conventional Wisdom during its first eight months. (And if you have discovered it more recently, please check out our archives.) I am taking a couple of months off from the blog to concentrate on some long-form projects and take care of personal matters, such as finding a new place to live — always a challenge in the Northeast Corridor, but that’s a widely covered topic.

This is a good time for a hiatus, since the November midterm elections are still a good ways off. We’re already seeing predictions that change on a daily basis, and the momentum in the battle to win control of the U.S. Senate may shift from one party to the other several dozen more times. The identity of the front-runner for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination will change at least as often. If you miss a political trend story over the next few months, it will almost surely circle around and come back again before this fall.

The biggest change in political journalism over the past few months has been the launch of “data-driven” websites: Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com, Ezra Klein’s Vox.com, and the New York Times’s The Upshot. They’re part of a larger trend toward incorporating political science in campaign coverage, as opposed to the more traditional emphasis on personalities, strategies, and reporters’ interpretation of “vibrations” on the ground. See The Washington Post’s The Monkey Cage, the Washington Monthly’s Ten Miles Square, and the group blog The Mischiefs of Faction for good examples of poli-sci approaches to current events.

The Boston Review’s Andrew Mayersohn writes that this trend is a welcome antidote to simplistic political journalism that’s obsessed with flashy new narratives (game changers, “wave” elections, etc.). But he cautions that data-driven journalism is not immune from marketing demands: “when they too need to come up with new material on a daily basis, as FiveThirtyEight intends to do, quantitative types can fall into their own version of the same trap. To avoid repetitiveness, number crunchers can be tempted to dig ever deeper in search of Freakonomics-style hidden influences.”

So the battle over how to cover elections may be at least as exciting than the elections themselves this year. There will be plenty to write about — and maybe debunk — when I return to (Un)Conventional Wisdom.

Comments are automatically closed two weeks after an article's initial publication. See our comments policy for more.

The latest from america

Pope Leo XIV greets religious sisters during a meeting with officials and employees of the Roman Curia, Vatican City State and the Diocese of Rome in the Paul VI Audience Hall at the Vatican May 24, 2025. (CNS photo/Vatican Media)
Describing the Curia as the institution that preserves “the historical memory of the church,” Pope Leo called on these Vatican employees to “work together” with him “in the great cause of unity and love.”
Gerard O’ConnellMay 24, 2025
Paola Ugaz, a Peruvian journalist who helped expose the abuse committed by leaders of the Sodalitium Christianae Vitae, gives Pope Leo XIV a stole made of alpaca wool, during the pope's meeting with members of the media May 12, 2025, in the Paul VI Audience Hall at the Vatican. (CNS photo/Vatican Media)
Pope Leo offered a heartening message for a global media that has endured a pretty awful year.
Kevin ClarkeMay 23, 2025
If you think our enthusiasm for our basketball team was intense, just wait until you see our support for Pope Leo XIV.
Jack DoolinMay 23, 2025
“I don’t think he’s the kind of man who sends coded messages,” Cardinal Michael Czerny says in this exclusive interview with Gerard O’Connell.
Gerard O’ConnellMay 23, 2025