An Early Look at 2014

 
Roll Call and the Rothenberg Political Report have posted their first predictions for congressional and gubernatorial races in 2014—and it’s not too early, given how far in advance candidate recruitment and fundraising begin.
 
As of now, the Democrats need to pick up 17 seats to retake the House, and the striking thing about the Roll Call map is how little chance the party is given to make gains in the “red states” from the last presidential election. Only three Republican seats in Romney states (one each in Indiana, Nebraska, and West Virginia) are considered even remotely competitive, and the South is entirely off-limits.
 
Instead, the most promising spots for Democratic pick-ups seem to be in Northeastern and Midwestern states that Obama carried, with New York and Ohio contributing three possibilities each to the Roll Call list. Unless things change dramatically over the next year, the Roll Call map suggests that few of the most conservative Republicans in the House have anything to fear in 2014. The map is not good news for anyone hoping for a more conciliatory relationship between the GOP House and the Obama White House.
 
Image from Roll Call.
Comments are automatically closed two weeks after an article's initial publication. See our comments policy for more.

Advertisement

Don't miss the best from America

Sign up for our Newsletter to get the Jesuit perspective on news, faith and culture.

The latest from america

Cardinal Timothy Dolan, right, shakes hands with former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg as Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, left, looks on during the 72nd Annual Alfred E. Smith Memorial Foundation dinner Thursday, Oct. 19, 2017, in New York. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)
“Everyone will report what happened here tonight differently,” Mr. Ryan joked.
Colleen DulleOctober 20, 2017
Catholics are following the general public in a broader acceptance of cremation.
Joseph McAuleyOctober 20, 2017
An unprecedented ecumenical and interreligious cooperation is the museum’s greatest accomplishment.
Matt Malone, S.J.October 20, 2017
A suicide prevented is often more than only one life saved; it often is a whole family preserved.
The EditorsOctober 20, 2017